According to IHS iSuppli’s DRAM market briefing, since Elpida’s bankruptcy in February, the volatility in the DRAM market has clearly weakened, clearly inconsistent with its long-term trend.
Since Elpida announced its multi-billion-dollar debt, DRAM prices appear to have remained stable, although Elpida was still the third-highest-selling DRAM supplier in the first quarter of this year.
In the 12 weeks after Elpida announced its statement on February 27, IHS iSuppli's DRAM price index remained within a narrow range of 234-243. At the time of the announcement of the declaration, it was 234. The index is a weighted average of DRAM spot prices. When the index was first released in 2002, the initial value was 1000, which was used to measure the decline in DRAM prices.
Compared with the above time period, the 12-week fluctuation range of the DRAM price index was much larger before Elpida went bankrupt. The statement was declared 179 weeks before the end of the week. At the end of the period, it was 216, and the range width was 37 points.
Another measure of DRAM price changes is the momentum indicator, which remained at 50% after Elpida's statement, indicating that momentum is neutral, neither positive nor negative.
There is also a sign that the DRAM market is unusually calm, and the price fluctuations of 2GB DDR3 also weakened. 2GB DDR3 is currently the mainstream product in the market with the largest number. A week before Elpida’s bankruptcy, the price of 2GB DDR3 has changed significantly by 17% from the previous week. In contrast, the weekly price trend in the 12th week after Elpida’s bankruptcy showed that the 2GB DDR3 only changed by 0.7%.
The background of all this is that everyone has guessed who will eventually own Elpida, which will mean for the DRAM industry. Although the American memory maker Micron acquired exclusive rights to Elpida, SK Hynix Semiconductor and GlobalFoundries Inc. Other vendors still have great interest in Elpida.
Due to the fact that there is still a lot of uncertainty, the industry players seem to be watching and seeing what happens to the industry structure when Elbida’s destination is determined. Therefore, the current price environment seems to reflect this atmosphere. The market for DARM is unusually calm, and price volatility is significantly weakened.
The current static level of DRAM prices only emerged after the bankruptcy of Elpida. Obviously, the weakening of DRAM prices has a direct bearing on Elpida's bankruptcy statement.
IHS iSuppli believes that once Elpida’s fate becomes clear, whether DRAM prices will return to normal fluctuations is still a big question mark.
Since Elpida announced its multi-billion-dollar debt, DRAM prices appear to have remained stable, although Elpida was still the third-highest-selling DRAM supplier in the first quarter of this year.
In the 12 weeks after Elpida announced its statement on February 27, IHS iSuppli's DRAM price index remained within a narrow range of 234-243. At the time of the announcement of the declaration, it was 234. The index is a weighted average of DRAM spot prices. When the index was first released in 2002, the initial value was 1000, which was used to measure the decline in DRAM prices.
Compared with the above time period, the 12-week fluctuation range of the DRAM price index was much larger before Elpida went bankrupt. The statement was declared 179 weeks before the end of the week. At the end of the period, it was 216, and the range width was 37 points.
Another measure of DRAM price changes is the momentum indicator, which remained at 50% after Elpida's statement, indicating that momentum is neutral, neither positive nor negative.
There is also a sign that the DRAM market is unusually calm, and the price fluctuations of 2GB DDR3 also weakened. 2GB DDR3 is currently the mainstream product in the market with the largest number. A week before Elpida’s bankruptcy, the price of 2GB DDR3 has changed significantly by 17% from the previous week. In contrast, the weekly price trend in the 12th week after Elpida’s bankruptcy showed that the 2GB DDR3 only changed by 0.7%.
The background of all this is that everyone has guessed who will eventually own Elpida, which will mean for the DRAM industry. Although the American memory maker Micron acquired exclusive rights to Elpida, SK Hynix Semiconductor and GlobalFoundries Inc. Other vendors still have great interest in Elpida.
Due to the fact that there is still a lot of uncertainty, the industry players seem to be watching and seeing what happens to the industry structure when Elbida’s destination is determined. Therefore, the current price environment seems to reflect this atmosphere. The market for DARM is unusually calm, and price volatility is significantly weakened.
The current static level of DRAM prices only emerged after the bankruptcy of Elpida. Obviously, the weakening of DRAM prices has a direct bearing on Elpida's bankruptcy statement.
IHS iSuppli believes that once Elpida’s fate becomes clear, whether DRAM prices will return to normal fluctuations is still a big question mark.
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